Knowing when to start and sit players, especially starting pitchers, can be key to a win or loss in weekly fantasy baseball leagues or H2H leagues.
Whether it’s benching a Top 30 pitcher with a tough matchup or picking up a guy off the Waiver Wire with a juicy start, playing the matchups is a skill that takes some research and the intestinal fortitude to do what the trends and statistics say instead of what your gut says.
With that in mind, here are five SPs to avoid in the upcoming week and five to plug in or grab off of Waivers.
Jared Weaver SP LAA – Yes he gave up 8 ERs in his last start, but that was at Texas against the Rangers. He has a start today against the Padres in the pitcher friendly Petco Park. Plus he will either get Oakland on Wednesday or Seattle on Thursday. Plug him in and leave him there.
Brandon Beachy SP ATL – Sporting a 1.33 ERA on the season, he has yet to give up more than 2 ERs in any start in 2012. He’ll face the Reds on Tuesday who are 27th in the league in OBP 23rd in AVG, and 20th in Rs Scored.
Matt Cain SP SF – The 2.67 ERA is nice, but the 0.82 WHIP is awesome. In eight starts this year Cain has only given up 6 HRs and 10 BBs. He’ll be in Milwaukee against the Brewers who have a .235 team AVG on Tuesday.
Anthony Bass SP SD – Yes he’ll be pitching to Albert Pujols on Sunday, but does that really scare anyone anymore? The Angels are 24th in the league in Rs scored. Bass will have the haven of Petco to keep any potential Pujols HRs in play.
Wade Miley SP ARI – If you’re looking to take a flier on a guy with a low ownership percentage, look no further than Mr. Miley. He’ll be hurling against the Royals who rank 19th in Rs scored on Sunday, then the previously mentioned Brewers a week from tomorrow.
Brandon Morrow SP TOR – Although he’s sporting a 2.22 ERA, in his last five starts he has faced lowly offenses like Oakland and Seattle. Plus he has a start tomorrow against the Mets who have a deceptively good offense – 5th in AVG, 6th in OBP. Furthermore, his next start will likely be in Arlington against the Texas Rangers.
Gio Gonzalez SP WAS – He has 12 BBs in his last four starts yet has only allowed one HR in 2012. He’s up against the better-than-you-think Phillies on Monday and likely the Braves a week from Sunday who have scored the second-most Rs in the league. I expect those BBs to catch up with him once guys knock a few over the fences on him.
Justin Verlander SP DET – Now I don’t recommend sitting a Cy Young winner, but if you are going to, today would be the day to do it. Verlander has allowed 10 ERs over his last four starts and he has drawn the Pittsburgh Pirates today who (although have a terrible offense) have scored 18 Rs in their last three games. Use that information however you please.
Wandy Rodriguez SP HOU – He’s starting against the Rangers today. End of discussion.
Johnny Cueto SP CIN – In his last five starts he has allowed more than one run only once when he gave up five to the Braves. The other four teams in those starts were in the bottom half of the league in offense suggesting that he might be a mere matchups play despite his sparkling 1.89 ERA. He draws the Yankees on Sunday who are 4th in SLG and 5th in AVG.
Thanks for reading and don’t forget to play in daily and weekly leagues for cash prizes at Fantazzle.com and follow me on Twitter @SteveOnSportsOK.
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