A few days ago I wrote about some “sleepers” to target for the upcoming 2012 fantasy baseball season, guys going later in drafts who could outperform their preseason predictions. On the contrary, there are players being taken in the early rounds of drafts in fantasy baseball games everywhere, who are destined to disappoint their owners. To clarify, I do not consider these guys as bad players, nor do I think they can’t have decent years. I’m saying that I don’t like what you have to pay to get them, the price is too high for the return you can realistically expect from them.
Over-hyped players can find themselves in such a group for several reasons. The main thing I look for when assessing whether a player is getting too much love in drafts is body of work, has this guy shown consistent skills for a number of years or is he just a flash in the pan? (more…)