Daily Fantasy Baseball Must Starts: Saturday June 30th

Daily Fantasy Baseball Must StartsA potential Cy Young candidate is on the mound, so why do the numbers say you should load up on his opponent?

Value plays:

Miami Marlins – What would appear to be an avoidable matchup against Cole Hamels is actually an opportunity to flourish in daily fantasy baseball games. Current Marlins are batting .284 against the all star with 10% of their hits going for home runs and 40% going for extra bases. Rostering Marlins does come with risk as they strike out nearly as often as they get a hit. Chris Coghlan is the sleeper here, boasting a .333 average against Hamels with more than half of his hits going for extra bases.

Placido Polanco -In the same game, Polanco is the Phillies hitter to own against Mark Buehrle. The third basemen is batting a remarkable .439 against the crafty lefty, and with Chase Utley back in action, the base hits figure to do more damage now than they did earlier in the season. Hunter Pence’s career stats against Buehrle are also impressive, so Polanco figures to see some good pitches and be in position to score multiple runs.

Carlos Lee – Rarely do I suggest tempting fate and rostering any player from one of the worst offenses in the league, but past success leads me to Lee today. The veteran outfielder is a lifetime .333 hitter against Matt Garza and has had 80% of his hits go for extra bases. If the wind is blowing out at Wrigley, Lee could explode and carry your daily fantasy baseball team. Even in neutral weather conditions, he is worth taking a flier on today.

Players to avoid:

Pablo Sandoval – Mat Latos has caged Panda in his brief career, a trend that should continue tonight. He has held Sandoval to a .231 average, just under the teams batting average against the righty (.232). While past performance is important, I’m going to ride Latos’ last outing (CG, 1 er, 4 hits, 2 walks, 13 strikeouts), and say he stays hot.

Pittsburgh Pirates – They draw the task of facing Lance Lynn at Busch, something few teams have survived. The righty has held opponents to a .193 average at home (down 61 points from opponents batting average on the road) and has won 4 of his 5 home starts. The current Buccos are batting only .204 against Lynn, making this a perfect storm for Cardinal fans. Andrew McCutchen and company have been good to fantasy baseball owners all season long, but today isn’t the day to trust them with your fate.

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