Albert Pujols – The Angel stud has warmed up with the weather, and a visit from the Mariners Jason Vargas is likely to continue the hot hitting. He has a lifetime .600 with two thirds of his hits going for extra bases. Pujols is going to hit the ball and hit it hard, making him worth the price it takes to acquire the best hitter in the game today.
Justin Smoak – Seattle’s finest is a good bet to out produce his salary cap fantasy baseball price tag of $100,000. We’re experiencing a run of “the bad Ervin Santana” and “the great Justin Smoak”, with the two paths set to collide tonight. Santana has given 9 earned in his last 10 innings with more walks than strikeouts. Smoak on the other hand, is batting .333 with 6 homers in the last 14 days. The M’s are averaging 9.4 runs per game over their last 5, with Smoak being at the center of the surge. Look for Smoak to register at least 1 extra base hit in an effective Monday night.
Players to avoid:
Hunter Pence – It is fun to watch the games better hitters face off against the elite pitchers, but when Clayton Kershaw and Pence square off, it’s a one sided affair. The Dodgers ace has retired Pence on 10 of 11 occasions, with four outs coming by way of K. The Phillies offense is lacking its firepower, extra reason to want no part of Pence in tonight’s game.
All other Angels – Pujols hammers Vargas, but he is unlikely to get a lot of help from his Angel buddies. The current Angel roster is loaded with 10 players batting .258 or worse against the Mariners starter. Subtract Pujols from the equation and current Angels are batting .204 off of Vargas.
Dexter Fowler – If you’re scanning the hottest players over the past few weeks in daily fantasy baseball games, Fowler’s 4 homers and .485 average will likely jump out at you, but not so fast. He has hit 17.4% of his career homers in the last 2 weeks, telling me that the power is not here to stay. In addition to the projected drop off is his inability to hit left handed pitchers (.204 batting average in 2012 against southpaws). He’s hot, but his long term trends forecast a dry spell coming soon. It is time to jump off of his fantasy baseball bandwagon