Daily Fantasy Baseball Must Starts: Friday August 10th

Daily Fantasy Baseball Must StartsThere are value plays all over the place tonight, from high priced all stars to lowly youngsters trying to break out of a season long slump.

Value plays:

Mark Trumbo – Rostering any hitter against King Felix Hernandez comes with its fair share of risk, but if you take a flier for your daily fantasy baseball team on Trumbo, the potential reward outweighs that risk. The left fielder has struggled at times this season, but his power is approaching elite status, and 33% of his hits against Hernandez have left the ballpark. Combine his powerful swing with a .375 batting average and you’ve got yourself a very solid, low priced option in your outfield today.

Carlos Beltran – Beltran is similar to Trumbo in that they both face off against aces that they have had past success against. The Cardinals outfielder matches up against Doc Halladay, a pitcher who he owns a .326 career average against in 43 at bats. He is slugging .488 against the Phillies veteran, and with Matt Holliday smoking hot and a St. Louis roster that holds a .299 team batting average against Halladay, you need to at least consider rostering Beltran in daily fantasy baseball games. Consider that Beltran is a switch hitter and is likely to bat from the right (his stronger side) due to Halladay’s large difference in success against righties as opposed to lefties (righties are batting 33 points higher and almost twice as often).

Justin Smoak – Digging deep for a sleeper with the final few pennies of your budget? Smoak’s .189 season batting average may not scream “roster me”, but if he is going to have a productive night, tonight’s that night. He faces Ervin Santana, a starter whom he holds a .400 lifetime batting average and .667 slugging percentage against. In addition to past success against the Angels questionable starter, Smoak is batting 57 points higher on the road than at home. He has walked more often than he has struck out, giving me reason to believe that he sees the ball reasonably well out of Santana’s hand.

Miguel Cabrera – It’s not exactly going out on a limb, but Cabrera figures to continue his MVP season against Scott Feldman. The Tigers third basemen has 7 hits (4 for extra bases) in 10 career at bats against the Rangers starter. The combination of power and average has Miggy at a 2.227 OPS, a number that is simply to high to ignore. He is well worth the big time price tag today in fantasy baseball and even has a chance to outproduce his asking price.

Players to avoid:

Chase Utley – If Utley faced Kyle Lohse 100 times, he would probably have success, but this is Lohse’s season, and Utley figures to do very little to change that. The Phillies injury prone second basemen has a .167 average against the Cardinals righty with only 1 RBI in 24 career at bats. Utley is coming off of one of his worst months (hit .211 in July) in his career, and with Lohse having a career best season, I don’t expect anything more than a harmless single from Utley tonight.

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